Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.158092 0.180216 0.204838 0.234362 0.268921 0.308235 0.356547
2025-12-14 0.122462 0.151549 0.187162 0.234378 0.295930 0.374272 0.482853
2025-12-21 0.101402 0.133076 0.174631 0.233982 0.317945 0.434588 0.612656
2025-12-28 0.089085 0.122538 0.168949 0.239425 0.346210 0.506110 0.771846
2026-01-04 0.079373 0.113517 0.163148 0.242533 0.370153 0.574258 0.940302
2026-01-11 0.071839 0.106277 0.158420 0.245754 0.393821 0.645303 1.129477
2026-01-18 0.066410 0.101318 0.156182 0.252082 0.422998 0.730411 1.364490
2026-01-25 0.060848 0.095351 0.151378 0.253076 0.442603 0.801678 1.590952
2026-02-01 0.055933 0.089793 0.146428 0.252849 0.459555 0.870749 1.831123
2026-02-08 0.051342 0.084229 0.140726 0.250275 0.471300 0.931359 2.069193
2026-02-15 0.047259 0.079085 0.135118 0.246982 0.480845 0.988958 2.316702
2026-02-22 0.044919 0.076753 0.134273 0.252719 0.509979 1.095564 2.721411
2026-03-01 0.041473 0.072139 0.128789 0.248610 0.517656 1.155702 3.025905
2026-03-08 0.039016 0.069124 0.126038 0.249830 0.537701 1.250852 3.467336
2026-03-15 0.036655 0.066057 0.122840 0.249625 0.554382 1.341531 3.931088
2026-03-22 0.035150 0.064492 0.122455 0.255533 0.586995 1.482760 4.620187
2026-03-29 0.033528 0.062536 0.121045 0.258893 0.613838 1.615004 5.339134
2026-04-05 0.032054 0.060738 0.119766 0.262368 0.641686 1.757829 6.168349
2026-04-12 0.030974 0.059646 0.119875 0.269196 0.680049 1.944012 7.272179
2026-04-19 0.029521 0.057644 0.117781 0.270268 0.702476 2.085662 8.266083
2026-04-26 0.028088 0.055562 0.115299 0.270023 0.721104 2.220346 9.309873
2026-05-03 0.026592 0.053224 0.112010 0.267246 0.731673 2.330281 10.302775
2026-05-10 0.025162 0.050920 0.108591 0.263693 0.739273 2.432216 11.323660